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All-time record warmth Tuesday, near record warmth Wednesday, abruptly colder next

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Good morning!

As expected, Syracuse broke some warm weather records while just missing one other. Here is what happened Tuesday:

With a low of 70° Tuesday Syracuse sets:
•The WARMEST LOW for October 9th. (Old record: 64°/1913).
•The ALL-TIME WARMEST LOW FOR ANY DAY IN OCTOBER. (Old record: 69° set back on October 12, 1928).

With a high of 84° Tuesday Syracuse:
•Just misses the record high of 85° set in 1949.

Once again today, temperatures will be very close to record levels.

Here is what you need to know before you go so you can plan ahead for today.

Temperatures across the area are once again starting absurdly above average. Normally, an early October morning should start near 43 degrees for Syracuse with upper 30s for the normally colder countryside. Our numbers are starting about 25 degrees above average and near record levels. Most spots are beginning the morning between 65 and 70.

The only difference is sky conditions. Most areas from Onondaga county and nearly all points north, west, and southwest will have clear sky and sunshine this morning. Further south, southeast and east, skies are rather cloudy. These areas will have more cloud cover this morning and then mix in some sunshine. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70s to nearly 80 by 12 PM. Wind: SSW 10-15 MPH.

For the afternoon, expect a mixture of sunshine and clouds with near record warmth continuing. Most spots should reach the lower 80s. However, with down-sloping wind for Syracuse, temperatures may get as high as 83 or 84 degrees. The record high for Syracuse again today is 85 set in 1949, so we will be very close to the record high. In addition, the warmest low temperature on record for today is 67 degrees set back in 1949. Syracuse will be very close to tying or breaking this, as well.

It will remain very warm overnight. However, a system will move our way and give us the threat for some showers and thunderstorms, especially later tonight.

I have attached a video forecast showing an hour-by-hour progression of today’s weather hour-by-hour and place-by-place across central New York.

For Thursday, I am expecting some on and off scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will still be well above average. A cold front will move through the area during the afternoon. Expect cooler air to begin to move in. A big change back to full-fledged fall starts Friday.

It looks like Syracuse and all of central New York will likely have the coldest high temperatures of the season so far on Saturday and potentially the coldest low temperature of the season by Sunday morning.

In addition, it appears that a combination of regular rain showers and lake effect rain showers will occur. The most pronounced lake effect rain will likely occur Friday night through Saturday evening. Partial clearing will occur Saturday night into Sunday morning and allow for potentially some of the coldest air of the season and also the possibility of patchy frost, especially for the coldest countryside.

I have attached another video forecast showing you the record setting temperatures, the Dog Walking Forecast, and the big changes coming our way thereafter.


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